League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 1Northampton
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.55%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 31.98% | 29.83% | 38.18% |
| Both teams to score 42.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
