League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 1
Northampton

Sho-Silva (74'), Gibson (90+4' pen.)
Riley (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (79')
McWilliams (31'), Horsfall (56'), Pinnock (80')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.55%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Northampton Town
31.98%	29.83%	38.18%

Both teams to score 42.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.18%

64.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.24%

83.76%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92%

37.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14%

73.86%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15%

32.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58%

69.42%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 31.98%

Northampton Town 38.18%

Draw 29.82%

Carlisle United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.81% Total : 31.98%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 12.17% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.82%	0-1 @ 13.55% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.18%