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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 43.41% | 27.87% | 28.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.74% | 59.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.33% | 79.67% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% | 27.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% | 62.47% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% | 36.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% | 73.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.87% Total : 28.72% |