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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 28.92% | 26.27% | 44.8% |
| Both teams to score 51.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% | 53.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% | 74.8% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% | 33.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% | 69.77% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% | 23.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% | 57.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.47% Total : 28.92% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.8% |