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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 39.35% | 28.06% | 32.59% |
| Both teams to score 47.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.22% | 58.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% | 29.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% | 65.02% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% | 33.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% | 70.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.64% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.58% |