Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.