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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 37.94% | 27% | 35.06% |
| Both teams to score 50.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% | 54.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% | 75.79% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% | 27.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% | 63.41% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% | 29.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% | 65.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.06% |