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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 24.99% | 25.22% | 49.78% |
| Both teams to score 51.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% | 51.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% | 35.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% | 72.23% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% | 20.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% | 53.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.99% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 4.95% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.78% |