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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
24.99% | 25.22% | 49.78% |
Both teams to score 51.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.39% | 51.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.6% | 73.4% |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% | 35.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% | 72.23% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% | 20.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.62% | 53.38% |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.63% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.99% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 4.95% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |