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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
29.52% | 27.5% | 42.97% |
Both teams to score 47.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.34% | 57.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.58% | 78.41% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.95% | 35.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.21% | 71.79% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.43% | 26.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.21% | 61.78% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.52% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |