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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 29.52% | 27.5% | 42.97% |
| Both teams to score 47.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.34% | 57.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.58% | 78.41% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% | 35.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% | 71.79% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% | 26.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% | 61.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.52% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.97% |