Exeter
5 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
43.96%	25.3%	30.74%

Both teams to score 55.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57%

48.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44%

70.56%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78%

22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69%

55.31%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6%

29.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61%

65.38%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 43.96%

Bristol Rovers 30.74%

Draw 25.29%

Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.74%