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Bristol Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Newport County

Bristol Rovers
1 - 3
Newport

Pitman (45+2')
Finley (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Baker-Richardson (27'), Telford (31', 61')
Clarke (39'), Willmott (72'), Baker-Richardson (86'), Abraham (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bristol Rovers and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawNewport County
33.14%28.36%38.5%
Both teams to score 46.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25%59.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95%80.05%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48%33.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84%70.16%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92%30.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79%66.21%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 33.14%
    Newport County 38.5%
    Draw 28.35%
Bristol RoversDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.14%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 12.11%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 7.28%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.5%

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