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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 36.11% | 28.37% | 35.52% |
| Both teams to score 46.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.39% | 59.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% | 79.93% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% | 31.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% | 67.86% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% | 31.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% | 68.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.52% |