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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 51.05% | 25.05% | 23.9% |
| Both teams to score 50.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% | 51.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% | 73.59% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% | 20.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% | 52.68% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% | 36.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% | 73.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.44% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.04% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.9% |