Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

Oldham Athletic
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Boundary Park
Ipswich logo

Oldham
1 - 2
Ipswich

McGahey (29')
Clarke (22'), Keillor-Dunn (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chaplin (36'), El Mizouni (81')
Woolfenden (27')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Oldham Athletic and Ipswich Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawIpswich Town
21.42%21.62%56.96%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3%39.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94%62.06%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93%32.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46%68.54%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22%13.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91%41.09%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 21.42%
    Ipswich Town 56.96%
    Draw 21.62%
Oldham AthleticDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 5.66%
1-0 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 2.86%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 21.42%
1-1 @ 9.96%
2-2 @ 5.61%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 3.23%
0-4 @ 2.84%
2-4 @ 1.84%
1-5 @ 1.28%
0-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 56.96%

How you voted: Oldham vs Ipswich

Oldham Athletic
21.4%
Draw
21.4%
Ipswich Town
57.1%
14
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!