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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 55.89% | 23.09% | 21.02% |
| Both teams to score 52.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% | 46.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% | 69.09% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% | 16.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.63% | 46.37% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% | 73.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.77% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 0.95% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.89% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.02% |