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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 44.08% | 27.53% | 28.39% |
| Both teams to score 47.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.79% | 58.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% | 78.85% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% | 26.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% | 61.35% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% | 36.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% | 73.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.39% |