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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 28.18% | 26.11% | 45.71% |
| Both teams to score 51.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% | 52.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% | 33.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% | 70.24% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% | 23.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% | 56.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.18% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 8.33% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.7% |