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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 30.45% | 26.73% | 42.81% |
| Both teams to score 50.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% | 54.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% | 75.78% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% | 32.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% | 25.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% | 59.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.81% |