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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 37.27% | 28.31% | 34.43% |
| Both teams to score 46.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.57% | 59.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.2% | 79.8% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% | 30.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% | 69.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.26% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.43% |