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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 34.14% | 26.56% | 39.3% |
| Both teams to score 52.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% | 52.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% | 74.37% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% | 29.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% | 65.27% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.14% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.29% |