Oldham
2 - 3
Leeds U21s

Dearnley (78'), Keillor-Dunn (90+3')
Diarra (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Summerville (42' pen.), McGahey (58' og.), Jameson (80' og.)

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oldham Athletic and Leeds United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Leeds United Under-21s
70.63%	15.75%	13.62%

Both teams to score 64.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.79%

25.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.8%

45.2%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.58%

6.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.95%

24.05%

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34%

67.66%

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 70.63%

Leeds United Under-21s 13.62%

Draw 15.76%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Leeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-0 @ 6.94% 4-1 @ 5.53% 1-0 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 4.68% 4-2 @ 3.21% 5-1 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.62% 5-2 @ 1.76% 6-1 @ 1.39% 4-3 @ 1.24% 6-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.29% Total : 70.63%	1-1 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 2.01% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.41% Total : 15.76%	1-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-3 @ 1.44% 0-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.79% Total : 13.62%