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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
38.78% | 25.9% | 35.32% |
Both teams to score 54.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.19% | 49.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% | 71.81% |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% | 25.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.07% | 59.93% |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% | 27.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.44% | 62.56% |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 72 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 40 | 30 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 67 |
4 | MK Dons | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 64 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 61 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
8 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 56 |
10 | Gillingham | 39 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 58 | 0 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 54 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 51 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 50 |
15 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
17 | Notts County | 37 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 72 | 72 | 0 | 48 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 46 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
20 | Salford City | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 33 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 33 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 70 | -28 | 30 |
> League Two Full Table |