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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Newport County |
| 42.18% | 27.88% | 29.94% |
| Both teams to score 46.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.18% | 58.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% | 79.33% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% | 63.05% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% | 35.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.89% | 72.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.94% |