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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 48.34% | 26.76% | 24.9% |
| Both teams to score 46.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.56% | 57.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.75% | 78.25% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% | 58% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.5% | 75.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.9% |