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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
| 37.1% | 27.28% | 35.62% |
| Both teams to score 50.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% | 55.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% | 76.67% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% | 64.68% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% | 29.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% | 65.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.61% |