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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 28.14% | 26.2% | 45.66% |
| Both teams to score 50.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% | 53.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% | 33.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% | 23.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% | 57.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 8.36% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.66% |