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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 46.84% | 25.95% | 27.21% |
| Both teams to score 50.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% | 74.54% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% | 22.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% | 56.19% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% | 34.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.95% | 71.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.21% |