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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 44.07% | 26.94% | 28.99% |
| Both teams to score 49.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.22% | 55.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.09% | 76.91% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% | 25.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% | 59.86% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% | 34.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% | 71.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.99% |