Northampton

1 - 0

Newport

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.