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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 60.02% | 23.33% | 16.65% |
| Both teams to score 44.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% | 75.24% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% | 17.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% | 48.18% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.49% | 45.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.66% | 81.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.17% 5-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 60.01% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.31% 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.48% 1-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.65% |