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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 23.41% | 26.66% | 49.93% |
| Both teams to score 45.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% | 78.85% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.41% | 40.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.81% | 77.18% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% | 23.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% | 57.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 5.61% 2-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.41% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 13.79% 0-2 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-3 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.92% |