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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 62.41% | 21.71% | 15.88% |
| Both teams to score 48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% | 48.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% | 70.82% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% | 15.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.47% | 43.53% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.5% | 43.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% | 79.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% 2-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.57% 5-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.26% Total : 62.4% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.45% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.55% Total : 15.88% |