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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 26.83% | 27.04% | 46.13% |
| Both teams to score 47.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% | 57.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% | 78.09% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% | 36.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% | 73.76% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% | 24.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% | 59.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 6.33% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.83% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 12.78% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-3 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.45% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.13% |