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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 58.28% | 23.64% | 18.07% |
| Both teams to score 46.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% | 52.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% | 17.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% | 48.71% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.78% | 43.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.52% | 79.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 18.07% |