League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Omar Bugiel 8' goal
  • Jonathan Barden 64' yellowcard
  • Robert Milsom 89' goal
  • goal Timothee Dieng 9'

Sutton United vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
Sutton 1 - 0 Harrogate
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
David Ajiboye

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 1 Tranmere
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Matt Jay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 41.6%
Draw 27.83%
Exeter City 30.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.56%
Under 2.5 58.44%
Over 3.5 20.97%
Under 3.5 79.04%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 72.33%
Under 0.5 27.67%
Over 1.5 36.78%
Under 1.5 63.23%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 65.33%
Under 0.5 34.67%
Over 1.5 28.6%
Under 1.5 71.4%

Score analysis

Sutton United 41.59%
Draw 27.82%
Exeter City 30.57%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 41.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.82%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.57%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Goodliffe 68' goal
  • Sam Nombe 84' goal