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Exeter City
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Bradford City

Exeter
2 - 1
Bradford

Daniel (51'), Ray (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Angol (11')
O'Connor (76'), Canavan (85'), Watt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Bradford City

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect here, with the match taking place in incredible circumstances. Exeter will be confident of beating Bradford once again, though, and we are expecting the home side to secure their spot in the second round of the FA Cup with a 2-1 success within 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBradford City
44.89%25.95%29.16%
Both teams to score 52.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14%51.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38%73.62%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97%23.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15%56.85%
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.89%
    Bradford City 29.16%
    Draw 25.95%
Exeter CityDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.41%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.16%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bradford

Exeter City
67.6%
Draw
24.3%
Bradford City
8.1%
74
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Bradford
1-1
Exeter
Robinson (28')
Sutton (30')
Nombe (86')
Edwards (60'), Grounds (69'), Sweeney (81')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
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0-0
Bradford
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Feb 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 28
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Bradford
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Gameweek 12
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