FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Bradford

Daniel (51'), Ray (81'), Jay (100', 115'), Atangana (105')
Hartridge (70'), Daniel (70'), Atangana (98'), Key (101')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Angol (11')
Angol (70'), O'Connor (76'), Canavan (85'), Watt (90+1')
Angol (105+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bradford City
44.89%	25.95%	29.16%

Both teams to score 52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.14%

51.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38%

73.62%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97%

23.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15%

56.85%

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73%

32.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.23%

68.77%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 44.89%

Bradford City 29.16%

Draw 25.95%

Exeter City	Draw	Bradford City
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.89%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.16%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bradford

Exeter City

67.6%

Draw

24.3%

Bradford City

8.1%