Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.