League Two

League Two | Gameweek 21

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 1
Port Vale

Telford (69'), Azaz (75')
Lewis (24'), Cooper (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garrity (25')
Walker (8'), Pett (33'), Lucas (45'), Gibbons (90+6')
Jones (87')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Port Vale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Port Vale
43.75%	25.89%	30.36%

Both teams to score 52.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.91%

51.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.06%

72.94%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76%

23.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84%

57.15%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69%

31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69%

67.31%

Score Analysis

Newport County 43.74%

Port Vale 30.36%

Draw 25.89%

Newport County	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.74%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.36%

League Two

Newport2 - 1Port Vale

Data Analysis

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