League Two Gameweek 25
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Downing 31' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Bowery 86'

Rochdale vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 3 - 1 Rochdale
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale 3 - 1 Mansfield
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Rhys Oates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result

Rochdale 37.38%
Draw 26.7%
Mansfield Town 35.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.86%
Under 2.5 53.13%
Over 3.5 25.29%
Under 3.5 74.71%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 72.46%
Under 0.5 27.53%
Over 1.5 36.95%
Under 1.5 63.04%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.61%
Under 0.5 28.39%
Over 1.5 35.86%
Under 1.5 64.14%

Score analysis

Rochdale 37.37%
Draw 26.69%
Mansfield Town 35.93%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.69%
Mansfield Town
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Maris 68' yellowcard
  • Stephen McLaughlin 71' yellowcard
  • Danny Johnson 72' goal
  • Danny Johnson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ollie Clarke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Cashman 50'
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Callum Camps 17'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 83'
League Two
Apr 12, 2014 3.07pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Tafazolli 14' yellowcard
  • Martin Riley 72' goal
  • Matt Rhead 87' goal
  • Ryan Tafazolli 90' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Lancashire 27'
  • yellowcard Matt Done 40'
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 52'
  • yellowcard Peter Cavanagh 61'
  • yellowcard George Donnelly 90'
League Two
Dec 26, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Scott Hogan 6' goal
  • Matthew Lund 13' goal
  • Scott Hogan 50' goal
  • yellowcard Lindon Meikle 52'
League Two
Mar 8, 2008 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jefferson Louis 74' yellowcard
  • goal Gary Jones 27'
  • goal Adam Le Fondre 47'
  • goal Gary Jones 55'
  • goal Rene Howe 67'
League Two
Nov 24, 2007 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee McEvilly 67' goal

Build-up

Match Preview