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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 42.24% | 26.21% | 31.54% |
| Both teams to score 52.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% | 51.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% | 73.71% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% | 24.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% | 58.77% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% | 30.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% | 66.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.54% |