League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 2
Newport

Patrick (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Demetriou (15'), Azaz (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
26.04%	27.92%	46.04%

Both teams to score 44.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.3%

60.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.23%

80.76%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.42%

39.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.74%

76.26%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6%

26.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44%

61.55%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 26.04%

Newport County 46.04%

Draw 27.9%

Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.42% Total : 26.04%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 13.91% 0-2 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-3 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.94% Total : 46.04%