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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 49.26% | 25.57% | 25.16% |
| Both teams to score 50.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% | 52.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% | 74.46% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% | 21.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64% | 35.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.22% | 72.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.16% |