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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 43.28% | 26.79% | 29.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% | 54.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% | 76.13% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% | 25.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% | 59.83% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% | 33.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% | 69.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.93% |