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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 33.4% | 28.59% | 38% |
| Both teams to score 45.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.45% | 60.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.34% | 80.65% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% | 33.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% | 70.42% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% | 30.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% | 67.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.4% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38% |