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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 33.73% | 29.4% | 36.87% |
| Both teams to score 43.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.78% | 63.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.37% | 82.62% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% | 34.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% | 71.69% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% | 32.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% | 69.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.72% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 12.77% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.86% |