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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 33.14% | 26.23% | 40.62% |
| Both teams to score 52.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% | 51.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% | 73.37% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% | 29.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% | 65.35% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% | 25.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.3% | 59.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.14% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.62% |