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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.41%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 34.17% | 29.43% | 36.4% |
| Both teams to score 43.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.69% | 63.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.31% | 82.69% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% | 34.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% | 71.42% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% | 33.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% | 69.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.23% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 12.69% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.39% |