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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
| 24.65% | 27.81% | 47.54% |
| Both teams to score 43.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% | 61.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% | 81.11% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% | 41.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% | 77.64% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% | 25.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% | 60.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.65% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 14.37% 0-2 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-3 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.48% 1-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2% Total : 47.54% |