League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Newport

Ferguson (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Baker-Richardson (32'), Telford (90+3')
Cooper (60'), Demetriou (62'), Upson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Newport County
37.23%	26.05%	36.71%

Both teams to score 54.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.59%

50.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.66%

72.34%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66%

26.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53%

61.46%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37%

26.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14%

61.86%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 37.23%

Newport County 36.71%

Draw 26.05%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.23%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.71%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Newport

Hartlepool United

61.8%

Draw

17.6%

Newport County

20.6%