League Two

League Two | Gameweek 14

Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
3 - 2
Harrogate

Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Harrogate Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Harrogate Town
37.45%	27.18%	35.37%

Both teams to score 50.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89%

55.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64%

76.36%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56%

28.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81%

64.19%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3%

29.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25%

65.75%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 37.44%

Harrogate Town 35.37%

Draw 27.18%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.37%