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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 45.71% | 27.81% | 26.48% |
| Both teams to score 45.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.89% | 60.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.68% | 80.32% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% | 26.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% | 61.42% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% | 38.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% | 75.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.98% Total : 45.7% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.48% |