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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2021 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Exeter City

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Exeter

Molyneux (25', 25')
Byrne (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nombe (41')
Ray (47'), Dieng (59')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawExeter City
37.89%28.15%33.96%
Both teams to score 47.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09%58.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6%79.4%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97%30.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85%66.15%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47%32.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94%69.05%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 37.88%
    Exeter City 33.95%
    Draw 28.14%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.88%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.77%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.95%