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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 49.92% | 27.77% | 22.31% |
| Both teams to score 41.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.36% | 62.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.79% | 82.2% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% | 25.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% | 60.21% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.76% | 44.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.68% | 80.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 15.39% 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 3.93% 4-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.01% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.02% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.31% |