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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Newport County |
24.74% | 26% | 49.25% |
Both teams to score 48.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.19% | 54.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.89% | 76.11% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% | 37.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% | 74.23% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% | 22.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% | 55.74% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.74% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 0-2 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |